Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.262 | $139 | +$86.5 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Feb 1, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.200 |
| $82.5 |
| +$62.5 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.150 | $55 | +$40 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.500 | $26.5 | -$23.5 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 75 | $0.320 | $24.38 | +$0.38 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.430 | $13.5 | -$29.5 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.345 | $9.75 | -$35.05 |
| buy |
| 8.88 |
| $0.140 |
| $1.24 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.99 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 130 | $0.820 | $106.6 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 20 | $0.809 | $16.18 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.580 | $128.76 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 23 | $0.144 | $3.31 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 45 | $0.400 | $18 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 60 | $0.280 | $16.8 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.217 | $2.17 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Seeker FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | sell | 25 | $0.070 | $1.75 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 146.59 | $0.130 | $19.06 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 65.67 | $0.787 | $51.7 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 60.34 | $0.829 | $50 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 250 | $0.180 | $45 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.456 | $91.25 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 152.67 | $0.131 | $20 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.667 | $26.69 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 58.2 | $0.690 | $40.16 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 58.21 | $0.430 | $25.03 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.917 | $22.95 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will EU increase sanctions on Russia before July?No | buy | 57.14 | $0.070 | $4 | May 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | May 5, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 50 | $0.985 | $49.25 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 22.62 | $0.884 | $20 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | buy | 25.42 | $0.590 | $15 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.004 | $6 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.006 | $9 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will there be another debate?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.987 | $14.95 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will there be another debate?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?No | sell | 28.98 | $0.940 | $27.24 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.440 | $9.78 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.950 | $22.09 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.640 | $6.64 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | buy | 25 | $0.650 | $16.25 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 25 | $0.207 | $5.18 | Jul 22, 2024 |