Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 12 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 52.5% on 12 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 20% on 13 Sep 2024. $3.63M traded over the market's life.
325 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 7:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 12 Sep 2024 – 5 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2024 | 52.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Buddyj | Yes | 26.74K |
| Degen2005 | Yes | 21.77K |
| systemxd | Yes | 8.06K |
| TrumpCouch2024 | Yes | 7.77K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On September 10, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris participated in ABC's presidential debate. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a second debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-debate
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Baggy-Blackness | Yes | 5.83K |
| Outstanding-Fishmonger | Yes | 2.2K |
| Svelte-Protection | Yes | 1.79K |
| qwertyzxc888 | Yes | 1.47K |
| Extroverted-Point | Yes | 1.25K |
| United-Petal | Yes | 1.01K |
