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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin new all time high before election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
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| buy |
| 5.83K |
| $0.002 |
| $11 |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
30-year mortgage rate below 6% before election?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.993 | $4 | Oct 30, 2024 |
2024 September hottest on record?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Oct 21, 2024 |
2024 September hottest on record?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Oct 21, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 9.54 | $0.303 | $2.89 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 13.29 | $0.280 | $3.72 | Oct 9, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 27.96 | $0.255 | $7.13 | Oct 5, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.97 | $0.256 | $7.16 | Oct 5, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 68.18 | $0.245 | $16.7 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.246 | $1.99 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.480 | $1.89 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.94 | $0.482 | $1.9 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 4.06 | $0.753 | $3.06 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 13.05 | $0.249 | $3.25 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 47.04 | $0.260 | $12.23 | Sep 27, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 33.2 | $0.249 | $8.27 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 33.2 | $0.250 | $8.3 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 14.34 | $0.517 | $7.41 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 14.34 | $0.518 | $7.43 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?Yes | sell | 117.1 | $0.071 | $8.31 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?Yes | buy | 117.11 | $0.076 | $8.9 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 37.41 | $0.248 | $9.28 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 37.41 | $0.251 | $9.39 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 14.6 | $0.504 | $7.36 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.6 | $0.506 | $7.39 | Sep 24, 2024 |