Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 30 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 83.5% on 30 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 27% on 1 Nov 2024. $549.34K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Oct 2024 – 5 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2024 | 83.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Harbor E19E | Yes | 6.53K |
| Noxious-Riser | Yes | 6.4K |
| Frank-Thigh | Yes | 4.26K |
| 8tomo8 | Yes | 2.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $73,777.00 for the first time according to Binance between October 29, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-new-all-time-high-before-election
| Shabby-Feature | Yes | 2.14K |
| shoebox123 | Yes | 2.14K |
| Drab-Intellect | Yes | 2K |
| Real-Gliding | Yes | 1.36K |
| Hot-Venison | Yes | 1.08K |
| Trueteller-704 | Yes | 716.86 |
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