
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 16 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 109 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 84% on 19 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 78% on 17 Sep 2025. $1.92M traded over the market's life.
404 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 16 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2025 | 48.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gosggos | Yes | 80.98K |
| Negative-Stay | Yes | 32.71K |
| LuckLi9888 | Yes | 25.42K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 15 September '25 09:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-all-time-high-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 17.6K |
| Cactus969 | Yes | 11.95K |
| Flamboyant-Trailer | Yes | 9.61K |
| Bjorge | Yes | 8.92K |
| DumbMoney2.0 | Yes | 8.54K |
| Fakemode | Yes | 7.51K |
| affifes | Yes | 6.63K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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