Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Aug 8, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.6M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 8, 2025 UTC

Topic roomEthereum Price

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 8 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 221 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2024 to 8 Aug 2025, the highest close was 94% on 8 Aug 2025 and the lowest 15.5% on 18 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 66.5% on 16 Jul 2025. $3.57M traded over the market's life.

188 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 221 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 8 Aug 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
ILoveAI69	No	159.47K
Rookieoftheyear	No	98.11K
Titoos	No	43.27K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 21:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $4,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.