Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 1 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 155 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 88.5% on 16 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 0.8% on 18 Oct 2025. $1.06M traded over the market's life.
262 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 155 points, 1 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2025 | 66.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Opensea officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. If a first such token launch occurs outside of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source will be public announcements from Opensea.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-opensea-launch-a-token-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 2.5K |
| Sapaholic | Yes | 2.43K |
| JTXEXE | Yes | 1.99K |
| bartdump | Yes | 1.9K |
| Sutasg | Yes | 1.64K |
| fdscrypi | Yes | 1.53K |
| acal | Yes | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
