Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94%. Yes opened at 94% on 15 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 15 May 2025 to 20 May 2025, the highest close was 94% on 15 May 2025 and the lowest 87.5% on 16 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 87.5% on 16 May 2025. $62.55K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 21, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 15 May 2025 – 20 May 2025, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2025 | 94.0% |
| 20 May 2025 | 94.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Zyrachrome | Yes | 5.43 |
| lestAAAA | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between May 14 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-eu-increase-sanctions-on-russia-before-july
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