Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | No | 20.19 | $0.743 | $19.76 | +$4.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.29 | $0.820 | $12.54 | Feb 21, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 11.9 |
| $0.840 |
| $11.38 |
| +$1.38 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 6.85 | $0.730 | $6.3 | +$1.3 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.49 | +$0.49 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2.76 | +$0.76 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.34 | +$0.34 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.22 | $0.900 | $1.83 | -$0.17 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.1 | $0.370 | $0.61 | -$2.39 |
| buy |
| 20.19 |
| $0.743 |
| $15 |
| Feb 21, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by February 28?No | buy | 31.13 | $0.964 | $30 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.610 | $19.67 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times at the Kennedy Center Honors event?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.513 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Grok 5 released by December 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Grokipedia released by December 31?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |