Latest trade
Sep 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 PM UTC.
Analytics
misterwilly is down $601.13 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-28 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Aug 4, 2026 UTC to Sep 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 585.01 | $0.038 | $13.16 | -$8.84 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-28 06:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
33 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 15:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 15:12 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-28 06:57 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.57K and losing ones cost $790.35 across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $161.73 on “Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $100 on “Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Sep 2026. It has traded 935 markets. Its open positions are worth $71.61 across 33 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 189.08 |
| $0.132 |
| $9.36 |
| -$15.64 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 86.85 | $0.288 | $9.12 | -$15.88 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | Yes | 19.85 | $0.252 | $4.47 | -$0.53 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 16.33 | $0.245 | $3.51 | -$0.49 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? | Yes | 71.81 | $0.070 | $3.23 | -$1.77 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17 | $0.118 | $2.92 | +$0.92 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 16.9 | $0.237 | $2.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 15 | $0.200 | $2.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 129.27 | $0.023 | $2.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election? | No | 12.5 | $0.080 | $2.5 | +$1.5 |
 Myspace relaunched in 2026? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2.47 | +$0.47 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes | 35.19 | $0.057 | $1.55 | -$0.45 |
 Haiti elections delayed again? | No | 13.64 | $0.220 | $1.23 | -$1.77 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $1.15 | -$0.85 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.140 | $1.14 | -$0.86 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | $0 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | Yes | 18.02 | $0.111 | $0.77 | -$1.23 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? | Yes | 60.53 | $0.050 | $0.73 | -$2.27 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $0.61 | -$1.39 |
 Trump on $250 bill this year? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $0.59 | -$1.41 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.340 | $0.56 | -$1.44 |
 Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.180 | $0.48 | -$1.52 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | Yes | 6.44 | $0.155 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
| buy |
| 11.76 |
| $0.170 |
| $2 |
| Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 9, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Aleksei Sarana win Titled Tuesday on September 8?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win Titled Tuesday on September 8?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by September 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 11, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 9, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E7 S1?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hans Niemann win Titled Tuesday on September 8?Yes | buy | 26.56 | $0.075 | $2 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win Titled Tuesday on September 8?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Uprising" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.37 | $0.821 | $9.33 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in September?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his announcement?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Working Class" or "Middle Class" during his remarks in Maine?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Human Printer" this week?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.19 | $0.057 | $2 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.37 | $0.264 | $3 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?Yes | buy | 55.91 | $0.018 | $1 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Coyote vs Acme" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Coyote vs Acme" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
 Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Haiti elections delayed again?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Myspace relaunched in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will anyone say "Grace" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E8 S3?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 417.38 | $0.024 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.132 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.26 | $0.034 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will anyone say "Queen" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E8 S3?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 40 and 50 minutes long?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.