Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 22 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 12 Mar 2026.
Across the 207 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 30.5% on 16 Mar 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 23 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 17%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 26.5% on 7 Oct 2026.
$16.56K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.88K, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 315 trades, $2.07K bought Yes and $2.59K bought No.
The largest Yes position is givemecash with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is siick with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 76.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 207 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 27.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| givemecash | Yes | 2.48K |
| siick | No | 2.39K |
| 4751346 | No | 849.37 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026
| Ryan1365 |
| No |
| 740.27 |
| GamblingYoshi | Yes | 675.52 |
| ChetterHummin | No | 600 |
| wallet-account-test | No | 543 |
| Daniel1234abcd | Yes | 503.9 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 292.86 |
| Boring-Avalanche | Yes | 265.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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