Analytics
Yes is at 3%, down 6.5 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 29 May 2026.
Across the 149 daily closes on record from 29 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.5% on 29 May 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 18 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 2.5%.
$39.15K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $19.11K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 295 trades, $837.57 bought Yes and $13.08K bought No; the largest was a $5.85K buy of No at 97.5¢.
The largest Yes position is ebk. with 7.7K shares; the largest No position is allenzzz with 10.4K. Ten wallets hold 90.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 149 points, 29 May 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2026 | 9.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-on-250-bill-this-year
| TaylorSchifff |
| No |
| 500 |
| Nadmi | Yes | 449.06 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 349.87 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 235.82 |
| minx6 | Yes | 230 |
| disscok | Yes | 210 |
| Proper-Background-Distortion | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
