Analytics
Yes is at 3.5%, down 3 points from 6.5% when the market opened on 14 Aug 2026.
Across the 75 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.4% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.7%; a month before, 3.3%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 40.4% on 4 Oct 2026.
$31.6K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $914.46, with a 2.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 362 trades, $888.07 bought Yes and $4.59K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Schneidyman with 591 shares; the largest No position is Noteagle with 991. Ten wallets hold 85.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 6.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Noteagle | No | 990.93 |
| Schneidyman | Yes | 590.51 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 350 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single trading card sells for more than $16,492,000 USD in a public auction completed on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying sale is the sale of a single trading card, including but not limited to sports cards, Pokémon and other trading card game cards, and non-sport trading cards at a public auction conducted by Goldin or Heritage Auctions, for a total price strictly greater than $16,492,000 USD. The total price including buyer's premium and fees counts, consistent with the $16,492,000 benchmark set by the sale of Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator card at Goldin in February 2026. Private sales, fixed-price sales, and sales through any other venue or auction house do not count. Only completed auction sales count. Listings, asking prices, unmet reserves, withdrawn lots, and unverified sales do not count. Sales of multi-card lots, sealed products, or bundles do not count; the qualifying price must be attributable to a single card (associated accessories or memorabilia included with the card, as in the benchmark sale, do not disqualify it). If a qualifying sale is voided, rescinded, or determined to be fraudulent or non-bona fide (including non-payment by the winning bidder) prior to resolution, it will not count. Sales denominated in other currencies will be converted to USD at the exchange rate on the date of sale. If at least one qualifying sale occurs within the window, this market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as the sale is confirmed by the resolution sources. If no qualifying sale occurs by the deadline, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements and auction results from Goldin (https://goldin.co) and Heritage Auctions (https://www.ha.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/does-a-card-sell-for-more-than-logans-record-16492000-by-the-end-of-2026-20260812144132445
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 182.15 |
| Dapsy | Yes | 150 |
| Geromi | No | 150 |
| asd56 | Yes | 140 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 119 |
| nelsonc19 | No | 117.82 |
| ReinforcementLearning | Yes | 105 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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