Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5K | $0.450 | $2.62K | +$375 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 413.53 | $0.210 | $86.84 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.03K |
| $0.380 |
| $518.16 |
| -$254 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.35K | $0.038 | $419.8 | +$215.33 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 575 | $0.140 | $343.56 | +$263.27 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 363.01 | $0.210 | $246.85 | +$170.62 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.039 | $152.49 | +$69.58 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 245.7 | $0.610 | $144.96 | -$4.91 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 260.72 | $0.068 | $20.08 | +$2.35 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.430 | $7 | -$10.2 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.280 | $6.88 | -$0.13 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? | Yes | 135 | $0.600 | $4.12 | -$76.88 |
| sell |
| 194.03 |
| $0.552 |
| $107.07 |
| 16d ago |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.039 | $82.9 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 575 | $0.140 | $80.3 | 27d ago |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.918 | $36.73 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 246.67 | $0.260 | $64.13 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.600 | $81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?Yes | buy | 78.5 | $0.548 | $43.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Yes | sell | 495 | $0.316 | $156.31 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Yes | buy | 989.54 | $0.240 | $237.49 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 236.98 | $0.446 | $105.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.003 | $3.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.420 | $0.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 300 | $0.059 | $17.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.2 | $0.489 | $56.82 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.034 | $37.98 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 399 | $0.127 | $50.67 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 168.63 | $0.450 | $75.88 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 668.03 | $0.079 | $52.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 149.07 | $0.061 | $9.06 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | sell | 26.99 | $0.952 | $25.69 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.380 | $380 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 89.18 | $0.870 | $77.59 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 448.94 | $0.735 | $329.93 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 254 | $0.610 | $154.84 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.570 | $5.52 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.570 | $2.86 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 255 | $0.310 | $78.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.250 | $75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.07 | $0.199 | $16.71 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | buy | 150 | $0.070 | $10.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.460 | $230 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 205.56 | $0.994 | $204.33 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.348 | $34.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 105.56 | $0.475 | $50.14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Yes | buy | 210.24 | $0.372 | $78.3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.320 | $128 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.236 | $94.35 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.991 | $99.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.284 | $28.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 508.83 | $0.180 | $91.59 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.380 | $392.16 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 880.96 | $0.998 | $879.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 303.87 | $0.640 | $194.48 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.689 | $27.55 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 200 | $0.635 | $127 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 63.88 | $0.614 | $39.24 | Jul 28, 2026 |