Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 43 | $0.830 | $41.39 | +$5.7 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 17.79 | $0.971 | $17.27 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 35 |
| $0.920 |
| $33.78 |
| +$1.58 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 33 | $0.880 | $32.19 | +$3.15 |
 Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.997 | $24.96 | +$0.04 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 27 | $0.913 | $24.91 | +$0.26 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 25 | $0.960 | $24.41 | +$0.41 |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 17.79 | $0.971 | $17.59 | +$0.32 |
 Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 27 | $0.390 | $9.59 | -$0.95 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.880 | $4.05 | -$22.35 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 39.99 | $0.120 | $2.2 | -$2.6 |
| Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.013 | $0.15 | -$1.15 |
| buy |
| 5.55 |
| $0.930 |
| $5.16 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.260 | $6.5 | May 20, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.979 | $12.73 | May 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 67.17 | $0.260 | $17.46 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 189 | $0.018 | $3.4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.150 | $5.55 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.997 | $24.93 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.9 | $0.700 | $20.93 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.030 | $40.5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.982 | $29.46 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 43 | $0.830 | $35.69 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 37 | $0.971 | $35.93 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.469 | $10.32 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.64 | $0.975 | $2.57 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.920 | $32.2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?No | buy | 21 | $0.984 | $20.66 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 32.71 | $0.972 | $31.79 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.028 | $1.19 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by January 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.960 | $13.44 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | buy | 9.31 | $0.950 | $8.84 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton charged by January 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 14.24 | $0.983 | $14 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2025?No | buy | 27 | $0.988 | $26.68 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the January meeting?No | buy | 21 | $0.999 | $20.98 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Solana all time high before 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.992 | $24.8 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 35 | $0.992 | $34.72 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $3,500 October 27-November 2?Yes | buy | 541.6 | $0.003 | $1.62 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 USDT depeg in 2025?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.984 | $18 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.927 | $4.85 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?Yes | buy | 24.03 | $0.985 | $23.67 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 13.46 | $0.966 | $13 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.61 | $0.963 | $16 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 43.79 | $0.988 | $43.26 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 69.35 | $0.090 | $6.24 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Ankalaev vs. PereiraAnkalaev | buy | 15.33 | $0.710 | $10.88 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 14.16 | $0.989 | $14 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump jail Elon Musk?No | buy | 22.52 | $0.984 | $22.16 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Yes | buy | 131.53 | $0.009 | $1.18 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.650 | $8 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.890 | $16.91 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 41.23 | $0.024 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $3,600 on July 30?Yes | buy | 15.26 | $0.983 | $15 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.210 | $1.48 | Jul 30, 2025 |