Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 AM UTC.
Analytics
smndmn is down $39 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 41 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Aug 26, 2025 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 76.91 | $0.715 | $58.06 | +$3.06 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 1d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-21 14:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
15 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:12 UTC
polymarket positions
43 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-21 14:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $45.26 and losing ones cost $44.99 across 41 settled positions. 36.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.5 on “US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?” (No); the largest loss, $5 on “Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 87 markets. Its open positions are worth $143.14 across 15 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 68.91 |
| $0.798 |
| $56.85 |
| +$1.85 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5.66 | +$0.66 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | No | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.53 | $0.395 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.63 | -$0.38 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.035 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No| buy |
| 69.44 |
| $0.720 |
| $50 |
| 27d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | 27d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 27d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 18.24 | $0.642 | $11.71 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 18.25 | $0.274 | $5 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.172 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.395 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes | buy | 57.78 | $0.017 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.123 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in November?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 UTC |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 16?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $112K on August 27?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.