Analytics
smndmn is down $39 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 41 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 76.91 | $0.715 | $58.06 | +$3.06 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-21 14:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
15 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:29 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 05:29 UTC
polymarket positions
43 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-21 14:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $45.26 and losing ones cost $44.99 across 41 settled positions. 36.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.5 on “US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?” (No); the largest loss, $5 on “Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?” (Yes).
It has traded 87 markets. Its open positions are worth $143.87 across 15 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 68.91 |
| $0.798 |
| $57.54 |
| +$2.54 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5.66 | +$0.66 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | No | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.53 | $0.395 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.63 | -$0.38 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.035 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
