Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

financeActive

Closes Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

45.5%

54.5%

Buy Yes 45.5¢Buy No 54.5¢

24h Volume

Total volume

$1.3K

Liquidity

$2.4K

Closes

Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Where it stands

Yes is at 45.5%, down 5.5 points from 51% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.

The high was 59% on 7 Sep 2026 and the low 45.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 57.5%; a month ago, 52%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 46.5% on 4 Oct 2026.

It is one of 3 markets under “OpenAI IPO by...?”.

$1.29K has traded since listing. The order book holds $2.4K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 42 trades, $114.53 bought Yes and $361.01 bought No.

The largest Yes position is GuyFromTinder with 160 shares; the largest No position is 0xdc3E831cad with 373. Ten wallets hold 81.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 2:22 AM UTC

Trade

buy Yes· 45.5¢

Open in terminal$0.48 24h vol

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 40 points · 29 Aug 2026 – 6 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–65%

Same event

OpenAI IPO by...?

1June 30, 2027This market$1.29K traded45.5%
2March 31, 2027$1.73K traded24.5%
3December 31, 2026$1.04M traded

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
0xdc3E831cad	No	373
GuyFromTinder	Yes	160
AJSV	Yes	53.64

Rules

What settles this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-ipo-by

Dates

Event starts

Oct 30, 2025 UTC

Now

Live observation

Trading closes

Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Event startsOct 30, 2025 UTC

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Best AI Model oddsWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of this month?

Analytics

Where it stands

Yes is at 45.5%, down 5.5 points from 51% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.

The high was 59% on 7 Sep 2026 and the low 45.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 57.5%; a month ago, 52%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 46.5% on 4 Oct 2026.

It is one of 3 markets under “OpenAI IPO by...?”.

$1.29K has traded since listing. The order book holds $2.4K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 42 trades, $114.53 bought Yes and $361.01 bought No.

The largest Yes position is GuyFromTinder with 160 shares; the largest No position is 0xdc3E831cad with 373. Ten wallets hold 81.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 2:22 AM UTC

Trader

Outcome

0xdc3E831cad

373

GuyFromTinder

Yes

160

AJSV

Yes

53.64