Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 368.94 | $0.813 | $355.1 | +$55.1 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 280.14 | $0.057 | $16 | Apr 18, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 98.77 |
| $0.810 |
| $94.86 |
| +$14.86 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 22.9 | $0.873 | $3.74 | -$16.26 |
| buy |
| 125 |
| $0.800 |
| $100 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 126.89 | $0.670 | $85 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Yes | buy | 500.33 | $0.078 | $39.03 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 427.28 | $0.012 | $5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?Yes | buy | 177.78 | $0.450 | $80 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.960 | $2.5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 81.41 | $0.983 | $80 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 60.73 | $0.988 | $60 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 22.9 | $0.873 | $20 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.630 | $60 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 305.5 | $0.982 | $300 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.031 | $40 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.290 | $48.33 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 2.81K | $0.018 | $50 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.300 | $50 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 334.98 | $0.002 | $0.67 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.480 | $30 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 86.11 | $0.929 | $80 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.118 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.106 | $10 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionYes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 84.21 | $0.950 | $80 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 708.44 | $0.014 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 75.13 | $0.266 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will the US loose jobs in September?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on September 1?Up | buy | 64.35 | $0.016 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?Yes | sell | 85.71 | $0.070 | $6 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 334.99 | $0.030 | $10 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 48.08 | $0.520 | $25 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $106K on September 1?Yes | sell | 55.99 | $0.999 | $55.93 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 24.68 | $0.951 | $23.47 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 74.47 | $0.940 | $70 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?Yes | sell | 63.68 | $0.940 | $59.86 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 74.35 | $0.796 | $59.18 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNo | sell | 313.23 | $0.203 | $63.61 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz?Yes | sell | 97.01 | $0.610 | $59.18 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNo | buy | 313.23 | $0.233 | $73.12 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | sell | 93.75 | $0.780 | $73.13 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 155.65 | $0.981 | $152.69 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 93.75 | $0.800 | $75 | Sep 1, 2025 |