Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 32% on 23 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 315 daily closes on record from 23 May 2025 to 1 Apr 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 10 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 7% on 10 Feb 2026. $184.75K traded over the market's life.
264 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 315 points, 23 May 2025 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2025 | 32.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yonmhkhd | Yes | 1.18K |
| Jade Atlas 47A1 | Yes | 1.01K |
| Indigo Comet 9F9F | Yes | 929.33 |
This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Gargantuan-Ceramic | Yes | 741.95 |
| Azure Meteor F850 | Yes | 701.66 |
| Quiet Pioneer 0398 | Yes | 658 |
| Unhealthy-Protest | Yes | 581.22 |
| Sergei92 | Yes | 539.03 |
| ACara | Yes | 535.65 |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 528.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
