Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 33.5%. Yes opened at 35% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2025 to 17 Sep 2025, the highest close was 37% on 3 Aug 2025 and the lowest 22% on 11 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 25% on 7 Aug 2025. $22.78K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 12:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 17 Sep 2025, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 35.0% |
| 17 Sep 2025 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jaja5050 | No | 999.95 |
| sc00ter | No | 661.6 |
| MakeEthereumGreatAgain | No | 424.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 17, 2025, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by September 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oQ246jra6cM
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-september-press-conference
| No |
| 421.41 |
| Merlot | No | 420.72 |
| PMMMR | No | 249.79 |
| krulzycia | No | 181.81 |
| Apple124z | No | 153.05 |
| niooon | No | 146.38 |
| doroulis | No | 123.29 |
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