Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 495.05 | $0.202 | $100 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.690 |
| $207 |
| Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes | buy | 193 | $0.430 | $82.99 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?No | buy | 58 | $0.620 | $35.96 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.640 | $10.24 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | buy | 660.32 | $0.250 | $165.08 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Angels vs. BrewersBrewers | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Yankees vs. OriolesYankees | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.974 | $1.43K | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 686.41 | $0.728 | $500 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 608.55 | $0.822 | $500 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?No | buy | 455.83 | $0.548 | $250 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Anchored" 3+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 760.09 | $0.658 | $500 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.975 | $1K | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 642.43 | $0.389 | $250 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?No | buy | 661.6 | $0.756 | $500 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.080 | $24 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 319.33 | $0.064 | $20.44 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.490 | $19.6 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Haitian" during the debate?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.290 | $46.4 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Will Penn St. beat Illinois by 18 or more points?No | buy | 150 | $0.470 | $70.5 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 30+ times during his Wisconsin speech?Yes | buy | 188.92 | $0.529 | $100 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "million" 10 or more times during his North Carolina rally?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Project 2025" during her Wisconsin rally?No | buy | 631.44 | $0.079 | $50 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | Sep 17, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.550 | $275 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.060 | $0.37 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "border" 5 or more times at debate?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?Yes | buy | 65.23 | $0.160 | $10.44 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "cat" at debate?Yes | sell | 156.25 | $0.180 | $28.13 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "cat" at debate?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "not going back" at debate?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?No | buy | 150 | $0.350 | $52.5 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "abortion" at debate?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "fired" 3 or more times at Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.400 | $60 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 3+ times during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 277.26 | $0.541 | $150 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "tampon" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 202.7 | $0.740 | $150 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "drill baby drill" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 176.53 | $0.850 | $150 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 145.02 | $0.345 | $50 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "tampon" during Michigan town hall?No | buy | 273.88 | $0.365 | $100 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during Michigan town hall?No | buy | 251.12 | $0.597 | $150 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "World War 3" during Michigan town hall?No | buy | 228.96 | $0.437 | $100 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "drill baby drill" during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 235.05 | $0.425 | $100 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border czar" during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Aug 27, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.467 | $100 | Aug 27, 2024 |