Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 7 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 7 Sep 2025 and the low 0.4% on 7 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 16.5% on 8 Sep 2025. $111.36K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 7 Sep 2025 – 7 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Sep 2025 | 49.5% |
| 7 Nov 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x00000000 | Yes | 27.87K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.79K |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 2.47K |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 1.58K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2025, scheduled to be released on October 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for September is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-september-522
| LeClairvoyant | Yes | 941.6 |
| JBODnumber1 | Yes | 748.37 |
| Merlot | Yes | 286.04 |
| AdvantagePlayer | Yes | 271.57 |
| shakuni1 | Yes | 200 |
| tj9 | Yes | 169.99 |
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