Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 24 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 101 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 31 Dec 2025 and the lowest 74.5% on 17 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 74.5% on 17 Oct 2025. $593.33K traded over the market's life.
149 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 101 points, 24 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2025 | 81.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 23, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Putin out as president of Russia - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Trump visits Russia - Putin meets Zelensky - Russia invades a NATO country Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/RU1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/RU2.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-russia-edition
| No |
| 5.9K |
| anta | No | 3.02K |
| OneFluffyBunny | No | 1.37K |
| Mexicant | No | 1.11K |
| techemist25 | No | 1K |
| IvanVand | No | 953.87 |
| housleskytarou | No | 770 |
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