Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 364 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 22 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 14.5% on 3 Mar 2025. $1.39M traded over the market's life.
272 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 364 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 12.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fatts | Yes | 20.96K |
| boig | Yes | 12.47K |
| Tart-Barometer | Yes | 10.98K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Mugman | Yes | 7.3K |
| peterbritman | Yes | 6.94K |
| starglider | Yes | 4.16K |
| S4ng4L | Yes | 3.5K |
| thewulu | Yes | 3.33K |
| 0xaaa | Yes | 2.59K |
| Jtdudlux | Yes | 2.46K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
