Latest trade
Oct 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:09 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Nicol-258 has made $4.66 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Oct 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:09 PM UTC.
$17.21 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Oct 13, 2025 UTC to Oct 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | No | 6.82 | $0.990 | $6.65 | -$0.1 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.990 | $6.75 | 12d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 18:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 22:09 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 22:09 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 18:54 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $117.21 and losing ones cost $86.29 across the latest 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $46.98 on “Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?” (Yes); the largest loss, $50.04 on “Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Oct 2026. It has traded 108 markets. Its open positions are worth $6.65 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 5.78 |
| $0.990 |
| $5.72 |
| 12d ago |
 Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?No | buy | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | 13d ago |
 Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-21?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-19?No | buy | 33.71 | $0.890 | $30 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 31.36 | $0.995 | $31.2 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No | buy | 25.27 | $0.981 | $24.8 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?No | buy | 25.89 | $0.985 | $25.5 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by January 31?No | buy | 23.44 | $0.981 | $23 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?No | buy | 26.34 | $0.949 | $25 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 19.55 | $0.982 | $19.19 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 US civil war in 2025?No | buy | 14.19 | $0.994 | $14.1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 8.28 | $0.930 | $7.7 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 12.32 | $0.974 | $12 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.990 | $12 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Wicked | buy | 15.19 | $0.948 | $14.4 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.993 | $12 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 14.52 | $0.992 | $14.4 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 15.17 | $0.989 | $15 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.969 | $13 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?Yes | buy | 14.44 | $0.970 | $14 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?Yes | buy | 16.22 | $0.986 | $16 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 14.06 | $0.939 | $13.2 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?No | buy | 13.2 | $0.970 | $12.8 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?No | buy | 13.91 | $0.870 | $12.1 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 13.23 | $0.960 | $12.7 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?No | buy | 32.49 | $0.311 | $10.1 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be less than 18,000,000?No | buy | 25.98 | $0.993 | $25.8 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?No | buy | 23.21 | $0.991 | $23 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 18 2025)Yes | buy | 18.16 | $0.991 | $18 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Up Only podcast released by November 30?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.720 | $12 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 14.48 | $0.967 | $14 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 17.02 | $0.940 | $16 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 23.75 | $0.691 | $16.41 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 31.08 | $0.899 | $27.94 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 22.03 | $0.975 | $21.48 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 23.76 | $0.884 | $21 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No | buy | 21.02 | $0.999 | $21 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 31.09 | $0.965 | $30 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 21.03 | $0.951 | $20 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 20.73 | $0.965 | $20 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 20?Yes | buy | 21.11 | $0.900 | $19 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31?No | sell | 30.59 | $0.957 | $29.27 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 39.24 | $0.963 | $37.79 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 121.73 | $0.989 | $120.39 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.