Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 28 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 28 Nov 2025 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 8.5% on 28 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Jan 2026. $218.94K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 28 Nov 2025 – 16 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | 8.5% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| m00000 | Yes | 25.42K |
| LemonDragon | Yes | 6.73K |
| simpledue | Yes | 5.97K |
| lsduck | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Fogo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Fogo (https://x.com/fogo/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fogo-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Mushy-Generosity | Yes | 1.6K |
| GUADANHAO | Yes | 1.39K |
| LaBefana | Yes | 1K |
| Swift Comet 3E3F | Yes | 504.39 |
| Corrupt-Lettuce | Yes | 500 |
| wuxinj | Yes | 257.5 |
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