
Resolved No on 20 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2026 to 20 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 13.5% on 7 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Mar 2026.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 1:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 20 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | 13.5% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 41K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 4.1K |
| Closed-Comfort | Yes | 3.33K |
| Tattered-Hay | Yes | 1.67K |
| Cannae | Yes | 1.36K |
| speed2779 | Yes | 1.34K |
| rox119 | Yes | 896 |
| monkeyurl1to1 | Yes | 715.45 |
| Consta | Yes | 633 |
| Spiffy-Oval | Yes | 497.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between Real Betis Balompié and Panathinaikós AO.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-bet1-pao2-2026-03-19
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