Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:49 AM UTC.
Analytics
laissezfaire is down $1.01K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:49 AM UTC.
$200 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Apr 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | No | 1.14K | $0.953 | $1.02K | -$70.5 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 100.3 | $0.877 | $88 | 1d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-09 12:09 UTC
Polymarket public position response
12 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 02:49 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 12:09 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.38K and losing ones cost $1.59K across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.53K on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.03K on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 123 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.17K across 12 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 455.85 |
| $0.877 |
| $430.78 |
| +$30.78 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 375 | $0.800 | $335.63 | +$35.63 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 317.84 | $0.948 | $315.14 | +$13.71 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 261.64 | $0.430 | $211.93 | +$99.42 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 224.72 | $0.890 | $198.88 | -$1.12 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 115.36 | $0.867 | $114.67 | +$14.67 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 113.95 | $0.962 | $112.53 | +$2.9 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | No | 115.24 | $0.868 | $108.9 | +$8.9 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 111.11 | $0.900 | $108.61 | +$8.61 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $106.97 | +$6.97 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 109.17 | $0.916 | $105.84 | +$5.84 |
| buy |
| 1.04K |
| $0.960 |
| $1K |
| 6d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 224.72 | $0.890 | $200 | 6d ago |
 Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 825.15 | $0.364 | $300 | 22d ago |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 697.26 | $0.497 | $346.24 | 22d ago |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 108.02 | $0.463 | $50 | 22d ago |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.750 | $60 | 23d ago |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 267.28 | $0.748 | $200 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.582 | $884.89 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.053 | $110 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.084 | $210 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 158.44 | $0.053 | $8.4 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.060 | $200 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.29K | $0.031 | $350 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.17K | $0.060 | $250 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.320 | $200 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 617.28 | $0.810 | $500 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 676.03 | $0.860 | $581.39 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 581.4 | $0.860 | $500 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.685 | $1K | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 521.74 | $0.575 | $300 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 317.46 | $0.630 | $200 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.26K | $0.019 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.160 | $200 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.25K | $0.016 | $100 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.016 | $30 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.210 | $30 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.109 | $600 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.53K | $0.170 | $600 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.380 | $80 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 289.86 | $0.690 | $200 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.990 | $1.41K | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.680 | $400 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.965 | $1K | May 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 385.08 | $0.985 | $379.3 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | buy | 791.05 | $0.940 | $743.59 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 690.28 | $0.290 | $200 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.400 | $300 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 797.08 | $0.502 | $400 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.406 | $449.77 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 206.83 | $0.520 | $107.55 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?No | buy | 216.03 | $0.926 | $200 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 207.25 | $0.965 | $200 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 144.92 | $0.203 | $29.42 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.379 | $420.41 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.