Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 53% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 47% on 11 Mar 2026. $733.45K traded over the market's life.
128 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 53.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31
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