Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 14.08 | $0.852 | $13.55 | +$1.55 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.860 | $9 | May 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.25 |
| $0.799 |
| $1 |
| May 24, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 11.05 | $0.917 | $10.14 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.954 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be less than 18,000,000?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.936 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 11.62 | $0.947 | $11 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 11–18?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.916 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 11.38 | $0.967 | $11 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will the Progressive Conservatives win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.975 | $1.2 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.940 | $1.2 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.5 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.982 | $1.5 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Human to human bird flu transmission before February?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.955 | $1.1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.984 | $5.9 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?Sonic | buy | 0.5 | $0.997 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 0.78 | $0.640 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 39.3 | $0.066 | $2.59 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 33.3 | $0.070 | $2.33 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.740 | $0.2 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | buy | 0.34 | $0.670 | $0.23 | Sep 4, 2024 |