Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 12 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2025 to 15 Jul 2025, the highest close was 20.5% on 12 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 15 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 2.9% on 13 Jun 2025. $179.42K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 4:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 12 Jun 2025 – 15 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2025 | 20.5% |
| 15 Jul 2025 | 2.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 89.43K |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 13.48K |
| inflater | Yes | 9.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in June 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 15, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/june-inflation-monthly
| Yes |
| 5.93K |
| pmkt1939 | Yes | 3.57K |
| 0x00000000 | Yes | 2.5K |
| Astor | Yes | 2.48K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 2K |
| CrazyNine | Yes | 519.99 |
| mrmanchego | Yes | 452.1 |
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