Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 22 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 161 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 22 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Jun 2025. $31.07K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 161 points, 22 Jan 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2025 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 458 |
| Devilschoice | Yes | 136 |
| EveMacadam | Yes | 103.62 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Steve Mnuchin, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Steve Mnuchin; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Steve Mnuchin and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-acquire-tiktok
| Yes |
| 43 |
| ajayhr | Yes | 41.2 |
| monkeyguy | Yes | 22.67 |
| Impure-Contour | Yes | 22 |
| jkthms | No | 8.52 |
| Openseek | No | 4.61 |
| EdgeMasculine | Yes | 4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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