Analytics
Resolved Sonic on 23 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Sonic at 99.5%. The Mufasa side opened at 23% on 11 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 11 Dec 2024 to 23 Dec 2024, the highest close was 23% on 11 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 22 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 15.5% on 12 Dec 2024. $777.75K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 24, 10:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Mufasa price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 11 Dec 2024 – 23 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Mufasa price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2024 | 23.0% |
| 23 Dec 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Awkward-Curse | Mufasa | 2.03K |
| HolyGuacamoles90 | Mufasa | 1.15K |
| Tommy.Bumaye | Mufasa | 815.56 |
| Madele89 | Mufasa | 708.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) or 'Sonic 3' (2024) will gross more domestically on their opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Mufasa-The-Lion-King-(2024)#tab=box-office and https://the-numbers.com/movie/Sonic-the-Hedgehog-3-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 20 - 22) for each film are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Mufasa" if 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses more than what 'Sonic 3' (2024) grosses on its 3-day domestic opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Sonic" if 'Sonic 3' (2024) grosses more than what 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses on its 3-day domestic opening weekend. If both films gross exactly the same amount, this market will resolve 50-50. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mufasa-vs-sonic-3-opening-weekend-box-office
| lettuce.hands | Mufasa | 600.2 |
| Kayane1 | Mufasa | 340 |
| Kmafi | Mufasa | 151.44 |
| Romanhaw | Mufasa | 50 |
| ali42 | Mufasa | 47.62 |
| Latero | Mufasa | 43.48 |
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