Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 6.05 |
| $0.990 |
| $5.99 |
| Jan 15, 2025 |
| RedNote removed from App Store by Friday?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.991 | $6 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.993 | $5.99 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.987 | $4.97 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.987 | $5.98 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Cybertruck explosion perp charged by Wednesday?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.993 | $5.99 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Cybertruck explosion perp charged by Wednesday?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.988 | $4.98 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Vivek replaces Vance as U.S. senator for Ohio?No | sell | 6.01 | $0.993 | $5.97 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Vivek replaces Vance as U.S. senator for Ohio?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.994 | $4.99 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?No | sell | 6 | $0.998 | $5.99 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.989 | $4.97 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | sell | 7.01 | $0.997 | $6.99 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.993 | $5.99 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | sell | 8.03 | $0.995 | $7.99 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | sell | 8.02 | $0.995 | $7.98 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 7.02 | $0.996 | $6.99 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.988 | $5.99 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.997 | $7.98 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?No | sell | 7.06 | $0.992 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.991 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | sell | 6.01 | $0.993 | $5.97 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | sell | 8.02 | $0.996 | $7.99 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?No | sell | 9.05 | $0.993 | $8.99 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.994 | $9 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | sell | 8.01 | $0.995 | $7.97 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | sell | 9.06 | $0.991 | $8.98 | Dec 21, 2024 |