Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 17 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 190 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2024 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 28.5% on 16 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 18 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 0.2% on 18 Jan 2025. $237.97K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 5:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 17 Jul 2024 – 22 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2024 | 15.5% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tc7732 | Yes | 7.44K |
| HuasoGringo | Yes | 1.21K |
| Johmnr | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy is appointed to replace J. D. Vance as United States senator from Ohio in the wake of a successful bid for the US Vice Presidency in the 2024 election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump and J. D. Vance lose the election on November 5, 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If someone else is appointed to replace J. D. Vance as United States senator from Ohio this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vivek-takes-vance-place-as-us-senator-for-oh
| Guyzer | Yes | 864.41 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 400.01 |
| Tasty-Ginseng | Yes | 115 |
| KolinaBanti | Yes | 100 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 42.26 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 40 |
| 9deF | Yes | 9.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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