Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:49 PM UTC.
Analytics
badmedicine is down $486.58 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:49 PM UTC.
$1.17 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Sep 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000? | No | 15.13 | $0.661 | $11.48 | +$1.48 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.006 | $0.54 | 3d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-21 12:43 UTC
Polymarket public position response
13 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 13:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 13:49 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-21 12:43 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $339.98 and losing ones cost $392.05 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $28.6 on “Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $66.59 on “ATP Winston Salem - Korda vs. Fucsovics” (Korda).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 1,003 markets. Its open positions are worth $29.33 across 13 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 30.3 |
| $0.330 |
| $6.67 |
| -$3.33 |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.137 | $4.32 | +$2.95 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 5.05 | $0.198 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
 NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.640 | $0.99 | -$1.01 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.035 | $0.66 | +$0.31 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.44 | $0.450 | $0.57 | -$1.43 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.230 | $0.28 | -$0.88 |
 US announces military base in Israel in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| sell |
| 70 |
| $0.020 |
| $1.4 |
| 15d ago |
 Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.160 | $0.99 | 20d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.035 | $0.35 | 20d ago |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.200 | $1.67 | 25d ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 25d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.987 | $2.35 | 25d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.137 | $1.37 | 25d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 71.71 | $0.006 | $0.43 | 25d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.006 | $0.09 | 25d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 3.29 | $0.006 | $0.02 | 25d ago |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 26d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.198 | $1 | 26d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.108 | $1.54 | 26d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | 26d ago |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 26.12 | $0.013 | $0.34 | 29d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 43.88 | $0.013 | $0.57 | 29d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.120 | $0.71 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.999 | $45.4 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.034 | $0.49 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Yes | sell | 17.5 | $0.030 | $0.53 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.098 | $0.8 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.060 | $2.57 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.130 | $1.18 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.593 | $2.78 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.57 | $0.656 | $3 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.65 | $0.392 | $3 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.143 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.12 | $0.369 | $3 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.082 | $0.1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.851 | $0.97 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.872 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.100 | $0.77 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.07 | $0.520 | $1.6 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.770 | $35 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.