Analytics
Yes is at 54.5%, up 7.5 points from 47% when the market opened on 20 Aug 2026.
Across the 64 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70.5% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 47% on 20 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 61.5%; a month before, 56%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 59.5% on 21 Aug 2026.
Reps sweep is the favourite of the 4 outcomes in “Kansas Senate and Governor Combo”, ahead of Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate at 21.8%.
$81.79 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.28K since listing. The order book holds $29.22K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 312 trades, $1.62K bought Yes and $1.81K bought No.
The largest Yes position is peepeepooppoop with 839 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 88.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 47.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.17K |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 839.2 |
| MispricedPaladin | Yes | 432.79 |
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kansas-senate-and-governor-combo
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 350 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 310.2 |
| grinder1011 | Yes | 189.45 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 187.5 |
| cosmicsteaks | No | 187 |
| Silver Comet 7A69 | Yes | 150.15 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 144.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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