Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 56 points from 62.5% when the market opened on 22 Jul 2026.
Across the 95 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 77% on 23 Jul 2026 and the lowest 6% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9%; a month before, 28%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 48.5% on 8 Aug 2026.
$25.83 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.56K since listing. The order book holds $10.62K, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 69 trades, $104.75 bought Yes and $6.99K bought No.
The largest Yes position is johnnath1222 with 219 shares; the largest No position is Babymunk with 250. Ten wallets hold 82.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 95 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 62.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Babymunk | No | 250.34 |
| johnnath1222 | Yes | 218.62 |
| Jydyjyd | Yes | 110.55 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260616212816384
| JoshBarmixer |
| No |
| 100.31 |
| ManipulationOfRisk | No | 95.12 |
| Silky-Trapezium | No | 93.68 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 83.48 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 74.38 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 72.8 |
| suntori | No | 47.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
