Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 47 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
Across the 308 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (35 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.6% on 12 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.9%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 8% on 9 Jan 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$2.48K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.33K, with a 2.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 52 trades, $29.43 bought Yes and $518.05 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 195 shares; the largest No position is DEGENKHAN with 342.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 308 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DEGENKHAN | No | 342.02 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 194.99 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 92.6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 4.3%.
| Jade Beacon E3EA |
| Yes |
| 81.12 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51 |
| paas2 | Yes | 30 |
| kiddddddd | Yes | 20.84 |
| PPMT | Yes | 20 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 16 |
| FoolAndHisMoney | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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