Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 5.5%? | No | 20 | $0.910 | $19.99 | +$1.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 22.85 | $0.400 | $9.14 | Mar 18, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.760 |
| $19.57 |
| +$4.37 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.585 | $19.32 | +$7.62 |
 Will Peter Sørensen be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.880 | $19.19 | +$1.6 |
 Will Florida have the closest Governor's race in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.921 | $18.62 | +$0.2 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 18.69 | $0.910 | $18.23 | +$1.22 |
 Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | No | 18.69 | $0.911 | $17.15 | +$0.12 |
 Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.791 | $16.53 | +$0.71 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.810 | $16.5 | +$0.3 |
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.815 | $16 | -$0.3 |
| Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.800 | $15.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.660 | $15.6 | +$2.4 |
 Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? | Yes | 20 | $0.690 | $15 | +$1.2 |
 Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | No | 20 | $0.686 | $14.97 | +$1.25 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | $0 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | No | 20 | $0.918 | $14.53 | -$3.83 |
 Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 20 | $0.928 | $13.04 | -$5.52 |
| Benedict Wong as Wong? | Yes | 18 | $0.490 | $12.87 | +$4.05 |
 Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday? | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $12.21 | +$4.21 |
 Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.580 | $12 | +$0.4 |
 Will Twice release a song in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.475 | $11.7 | +$2.2 |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.086 | $11.44 | +$9.72 |
 Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? | No | 12 | $0.800 | $10.74 | +$1.14 |
 Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31? | No | 19.99 | $0.220 | $10.69 | +$6.3 |
| Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday? | No | 20 | $0.590 | $10.4 | -$1.4 |
| buy |
| 728.4 |
| $0.400 |
| $291.36 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 728.4 | $0.400 | $291.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 19.38 | $0.460 | $8.92 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 351.69 | $0.470 | $165.29 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 145.35 | $0.470 | $68.31 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 20 | $0.881 | $17.62 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.972 | $19.43 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 198.59 | $0.510 | $101.28 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 53.28 | $0.490 | $26.11 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 435.09 | $0.460 | $200.14 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 93.27 | $0.530 | $49.44 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 155.59 | $0.530 | $82.46 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 968.85 | $0.480 | $465.05 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 633.26 | $0.430 | $272.3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 940.08 | $0.510 | $479.44 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 113.59 | $0.490 | $55.66 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 208.54 | $0.540 | $112.61 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 370.86 | $0.490 | $181.72 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 12.92 | $0.050 | $0.65 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 2?Yes | buy | 0.15 | $0.051 | $0.01 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?No | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.291 | $0.48 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Rose McIver win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.134 | $1.34 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.443 | $8.86 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.066 | $1.32 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.614 | $12.28 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.864 | $17.28 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.106 | $2.12 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.664 | $13.28 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.933 | $18.66 | Jan 2, 2026 |