Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 44 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
The high was 52.5% on 31 Dec 2025 and the low 3.2% on 2 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4%; a month ago, 22.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 17% on 9 Jan 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$12.61 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.56K since listing. The order book holds $10.72K, with a 4.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 223 trades, $174.72 bought Yes and $4.05K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 430 shares; the largest No position is allenzzz with 1.5K. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 11:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 301 points · 19 Nov 2025 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 47.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 4.8% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 3.9%.
| 42021 |
| Yes |
| 274.81 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 181.89 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 89 |
| doudouc | Yes | 87.62 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 80 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 50 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 48.42 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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