Analytics
Yes is at 37%, down 11 points from 48% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 29 Oct 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “Next Secretary-General of the United Nations”.
$1.52K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $992.66, with a 12.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 35 trades, $176.81 bought Yes and $81.67 bought No.
The largest Yes position is donthackme with 650 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 5.2K. Ten wallets hold 81% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 62 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 37.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.19K |
| donthackme | Yes | 649.64 |
| JordanMooney | Yes | 479.31 |
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 411 |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 356 |
| balthazar | Yes | 353.68 |
| Lucerys | Yes | 297.74 |
| JohnP92 | Yes | 245 |
| Aromatic-Carter | Yes | 228 |
| Jydyjyd | Yes | 210 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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