Analytics
Yes is at 29.5%, down 26 points from 55% when the market opened on 18 Jul 2026.
Across the 100 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83.5% on 8 Sep 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 32.5%; a month before, 43.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 47.5% on 9 Sep 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by...?”.
$306.03 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.54K since listing. The order book holds $407.72, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 190 trades, $891.02 bought Yes and $1.18K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 with 267 shares; the largest No position is clazzy1 with 339. Ten wallets hold 89% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 100 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 55.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 29.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| clazzy1 | No | 339.15 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 295.9 |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Yes | 267.3 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lana Del Rey officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lana-del-rey-release-a-new-album-byptptpt-20260717173624432
| bZk0Uo | Yes | 176.31 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 134.23 |
| koninginhetuniverse | Yes | 129.87 |
| Sa1LaR | No | 83.4 |
| Cornishon | No | 67.24 |
| SweetChariot | Yes | 60.7 |
| Emerald Ledger 40C6 | No | 31.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
