Analytics
Yes is at 4.9%, down 20 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 81 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68% on 9 Aug 2026 and the lowest 6.3% on 28 Oct 2026. The current quote, 4.9%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 7.1% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.1%; a month before, 10.8%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 38.5% on 11 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$1.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $693.47, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 26 trades, $96.67 bought Yes and $582.7 bought No.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 199 shares; the largest No position is Robbb with 362.
Trading closes on 21 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 7:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 24.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 7.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Robbb | No | 362.43 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 198.85 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 151 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
37 more markets, none above 11.1%.
| oliman2 |
| Yes |
| 93 |
| Hyperlong | No | 80.13 |
| extractive-manatee | No | 54.99 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Yes | 47.5 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| pppnn | No | 25.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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