Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Name: Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

6.5%

93.5%

Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢

24h Volume

$32.0K

Total volume

$32.0K

Liquidity

$2.0K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
lexaman.eth	No	1.51K	82.5%	$1.24K	Sep 13, 9:24 PM UTC
Alek01	Yes	798.51	37.4%	$298.3	Feb 3, 4:42 PM UTC
Vlad21	Yes	540.73	70.8%	$382.94
Ser-Keiser	Yes	450.79	11.8%	$50	Aug 11, 10:03 AM UTC
Milky-Tattler	No	434.6	72.4%	$314.77	Apr 12, 4:04 PM UTC
165198989	No	396.74	70.7%	$278.28	May 10, 3:37 AM UTC
twe2nty	No	362.54	88.7%	$319.03	Aug 14, 6:24 PM UTC
AccX3	No	310.65	67.4%	$209.34	Mar 16, 9:41 PM UTC
testcamala	No	307.81	65.0%	$200	Feb 28, 9:38 PM UTC
bet-lover	Yes	256.54	67.0%	$171.88	Jan 24, 12:00 PM UTC
Oklmntrader	Yes	223.3	12.0%	$26.8
Crytor	Yes	223.03	68.7%	$153.14
AlexFromRussia	Yes	200	69.5%	$139
bolovolo	No	196.06	51.0%	$99.99	Feb 5, 6:52 AM UTC
wintermute	Yes	193.46	27.2%	$50	Jun 25, 9:44 AM UTC
rajugg	Yes	190.35	37.5%	$71.38
Basquo	Yes	166.5	70.0%	$116.6	Jan 20, 2:37 PM UTC
yuanzhang	No	161.53	64.7%	$104.55	Mar 2, 7:06 PM UTC
TRAMPSTART	No	151.52	66.0%	$100	Feb 28, 10:02 PM UTC
WillFS	No	120.33	90.6%	$108.3	Aug 6, 10:13 AM UTC
TheOne777	No	115	29.4%	$33.8
peaceand	No	104.98	77.0%	$80.83	Apr 11, 6:35 AM UTC
VegemiteLover	No	100	23.0%	$23
btacc	No	100	81.3%	$80.14	Jun 8, 4:11 PM UTC
jy-01	No	99.3	56.7%	$56.32	Mar 16, 9:13 PM UTC
ValdeMURRR	No	90	69.5%	$62.58	Apr 2, 2:18 AM UTC
5atka	Yes	90	59.0%	$53.1
thecaricature	Yes	85.74	6.8%	$5.64	Sep 14, 9:54 AM UTC
acal	Yes	85	5.0%	$4.25
AJSV	Yes	81.63	15.1%	$11.98	Aug 11, 10:34 PM UTC
sddacx	No	80.34	60.2%	$48.33	Feb 28, 12:24 AM UTC
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	67.58	18.7%	$12.63
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	65.55	15.6%	$10.25
Mysouil	No	55	77.1%	$42.35	May 27, 3:07 AM UTC
Dr.PNL	Yes	55	10.0%	$5.5	Aug 29, 8:29 PM UTC
pd.unique	No	54.63	82.8%	$44.67	Jun 30, 3:20 AM UTC
october10	No	54	87.8%	$46.98	Aug 12, 1:40 AM UTC
Numitus1994	Yes	51	8.4%	$4.3
Nastik	No	50	89.0%	$44.5
MJ-SOL	Yes	45	64.2%	$28.9	Feb 1, 8:34 AM UTC
SergeyS	No	43.13	56.0%	$24.15
kuasuo	No	39.6	83.0%	$32.47	Jul 22, 10:47 AM UTC
alijbee	No	30	74.0%	$22.2
JakeBeez	Yes	30	10.0%	$3
Brave-Awareness	Yes	21.67	24.3%	$5	Jun 24, 2:57 AM UTC
jklfjalksjfdklsadjflkasj	No	20.72	57.8%	$11.98	Mar 14, 7:18 AM UTC
Baroooooon	Yes	20.24	26.0%	$5	Jun 9, 12:54 AM UTC
Valknut	Yes	20	70.0%	$14
TerranSupremacy	Yes	19.55	60.0%	$11.73	Jan 11, 6:42 AM UTC
Lassasy	Yes	18.24	38.0%	$6.93
test008	No	17.18	35.0%	$6.01	Jan 15, 7:15 PM UTC
moon-k58-lad	No	15.76	66.1%	$10.23	Sep 29, 4:27 PM UTC
winexecutescale	No	15	42.1%	$6.32
Rapid Meteor BF15	Yes	15	40.3%	$6.05
Cosmic Pulse BD1D	Yes	15	39.3%	$5.9
TYjujlre	No	14.98	81.2%	$12	Jun 13, 9:56 PM UTC
Retayler	No	14.81	82.1%	$12	Jun 9, 9:10 PM UTC
fyfu	Yes	13.04	26.9%	$3.5	Mar 23, 12:02 PM UTC
Azure Summit 070B	Yes	13.03	43.0%	$5.6	Mar 14, 10:18 AM UTC
rdtrre	Yes	13.03	43.0%	$5.6	Mar 14, 12:07 PM UTC
uyttuiu	Yes	13.03	43.0%	$5.6	Mar 14, 10:32 AM UTC
eeeeee12	No	12.5	24.0%	$3
yutyut	Yes	11.06	50.6%	$5.6	Mar 14, 12:03 PM UTC
flamerrr	Yes	10.58	29.8%	$3	Jul 11, 7:26 PM UTC
AaaA	No	10.26	79.2%	$8	Jun 8, 6:54 AM UTC
Bright Raven F05D	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
Quiet Sphinx E59A	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
Solar Horizon CE98	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
rterte	Yes	10	53.5%	$5.35
Lavincey	Yes	10	13.0%	$1.3
Jade Sphinx DC5B	Yes	10	42.5%	$4.25
hjgjk	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
dfgdfg3dr	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
Swift Comet 762B	Yes	10	50.5%	$5.05
ttyrte	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
Swift Raven 4456	Yes	10	50.5%	$5.05
Golden Summit 871D	Yes	10	42.0%	$4.2
Keen Comet 8427	Yes	10	51.5%	$5.15
tyrt3	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
Misty Falcon D942	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
ghyjghyj9	Yes	10	50.0%	$5
Solar Beacon 2281	Yes	10	53.0%	$5.3
Coral Falcon A6FA	Yes	10	50.5%	$5.05
fhjm	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
Jade Atlas 84F8	Yes	10	33.5%	$3.35
Silver Atlas BEE3	Yes	10	53.5%	$5.35
dfsd8	Yes	10	50.0%	$5
ghfy	Yes	10	45.5%	$4.55
hgffhyj	Yes	10	52.0%	$5.2
Emerald Orbit 46AF	Yes	10	30.4%	$2.9
Gari7503	Yes	10	26.0%	$2.6
Neon Maven 8AF4	Yes	10	69.5%	$6.95
Silver Quasar 741B	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
Azure Atlas 9420	Yes	10	42.0%	$4.2
Azure Pulse 85CB	Yes	10	43.0%	$4.3
rtyty	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
gfhjfrr	Yes	10	53.5%	$5.35
Cobalt Oracle 6AED	Yes	10	54.0%	$5.4
HyperPoor	Yes	9.92	40.3%	$4	Mar 7, 11:32 AM UTC
Raketa09	No	8.7	71.0%	$6.18
naggan	No	8.19	78.2%	$6.31	Jun 24, 6:56 PM UTC
drgtdr	Yes	8.13	56.0%	$4.55	Mar 14, 10:07 AM UTC
aewe78	Yes	8.03	57.3%	$4.6	Mar 14, 10:17 AM UTC
Azure Vector 9A5C	Yes	8.03	57.3%	$4.6	Mar 14, 10:38 AM UTC
erew5	Yes	8.03	57.3%	$4.6	Mar 14, 10:32 AM UTC
hjkhgtt	Yes	8.03	57.3%	$4.6	Mar 14, 12:06 PM UTC
Keen Voyager DC54	Yes	8.03	57.3%	$4.6	Mar 14, 10:21 AM UTC
Bold Harbor 511F	Yes	7.7	38.3%	$2.95	Jan 4, 10:49 AM UTC
jhmgjmj	Yes	7.22	25.8%	$1.86	Mar 24, 12:27 PM UTC
Haradwaith	Yes	7.03	8.0%	$0.56
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	6.89	31.1%	$2.14	Feb 3, 10:22 PM UTC
ftghydft	Yes	6.43	31.1%	$2	Jan 5, 6:22 AM UTC
jkuh9	Yes	6.39	44.6%	$2.85	Jan 5, 1:44 PM UTC
Jade Vector BA32	Yes	6.35	30.7%	$1.95	Jan 4, 4:02 PM UTC
Excitable-Rest	Yes	6.35	40.1%	$2.55
fghfg9	Yes	6.35	34.6%	$2.2	Jan 4, 10:23 AM UTC
Winged-Abacus	Yes	6.35	40.1%	$2.55
Frequent-Whack	Yes	6.35	40.1%	$2.55
Golden Orbit 9659	Yes	6.35	30.7%	$1.95	Jan 4, 2:07 PM UTC
Silver Beacon 54FC	Yes	6.35	30.7%	$1.95	Jan 4, 12:33 PM UTC
Bold Pioneer C136	Yes	6.35	31.5%	$2	Jan 4, 12:49 PM UTC
Royal Scout 3AA8	Yes	6.35	43.3%	$2.75	Jan 4, 11:30 AM UTC
rgszsz	Yes	6.35	42.5%	$2.7
hgtju	Yes	6.35	30.7%	$1.95	Jan 4, 12:24 PM UTC
Misty Raven 8ED1	Yes	6.35	43.3%	$2.75	Jan 4, 9:34 AM UTC
cghfhd	Yes	6.33	41.8%	$2.65	Jan 4, 5:37 AM UTC
fjhggi	Yes	6.33	41.8%	$2.65	Jan 4, 5:38 AM UTC
rtgertet	Yes	6.33	40.3%	$2.55	Jan 4, 6:10 AM UTC
dfgddg	Yes	6.3	42.1%	$2.65
hdydr	Yes	6.3	40.5%	$2.55
fkvsxre	No	6.17	82.1%	$5	Jun 15, 5:08 PM UTC
cvbnfher	No	6.17	82.2%	$5	Jun 15, 6:59 PM UTC
Uloifjr	No	5	81.1%	$4	Jun 14, 7:43 PM UTC
Swift Oracle D569	Yes	5	72.0%	$3.6
Bold Ledger A9E6	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
rtyrt6	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
kunsect7	Yes	5	76.0%	$3.8
Misty Voyager 341A	Yes	5	37.0%	$1.85
dfgdft	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
Royal Vector F6A1	Yes	5	36.0%	$1.8
jkjj1	Yes	5	68.0%	$3.4
dfgrtre3dr	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
hjmgtyk	Yes	5	69.0%	$3.45
Indigo Lynx B296	Yes	5	36.0%	$1.8
iouiy	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Jade Tide 4172	Yes	5	36.0%	$1.8
Rapid Comet 6AA3	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
jkewr	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Silver Tide 54AA	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
Misty Sphinx 23D2	Yes	5	37.0%	$1.85
dgfd1	Yes	5	66.0%	$3.3
drstyert	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
tewtwt	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
awew	Yes	5	72.0%	$3.6
Lunar Sphinx 57CF	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
hjfjhjhh	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
Silver Raven 2740	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Kindly-Oar	Yes	5	21.0%	$1.05
Bold Lynx A375	Yes	5	36.0%	$1.8
hgjkju	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Solar Falcon A13E	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Misty Tide DA82	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Quiet Voyager 0CFE	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
Emerald Pulse 634C	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
tyrt4	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Jade Horizon D365	Yes	5	67.0%	$3.35
Lunar Beacon B209	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
gfrergghhj	Yes	5	37.0%	$1.85
fghf5	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
yutut	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Swift Summit E7B8	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Golden Vector 9964	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Indigo Meteor B20C	Yes	5	36.0%	$1.8
fgdf87	Yes	5	72.0%	$3.6
Gigantic-Resistance	Yes	5	21.0%	$1.05
Misty Tide 4E3E	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
erster	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
ertwe	Yes	5	72.0%	$3.6
ftghdf	Yes	5	20.0%	$1
Azure Lynx CE58	Yes	5	37.0%	$1.85
Neon Vector 2D29	Yes	5	67.0%	$3.35
ghfg4	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Lunar Atlas C88F	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
PolyJaguar	Yes	5	47.0%	$2.35
hgjkk	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
Solar Scout CD67	Yes	5	36.0%	$1.8
Quiet Harbor 1174	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
Jade Sphinx 1F4B	Yes	5	32.0%	$1.6
Rapid Quasar E3B7	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
dsafgg	Yes	5	36.0%	$1.8
Cosmic Signal FEA3	Yes	5	32.0%	$1.6
fghfg6	Yes	5	66.0%	$3.3
Crimson Summit 5CF8	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
dgdh4	Yes	5	36.0%	$1.8
Azure Pulse FA11	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
Lunar Harbor 7F2D	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
Cobalt Harbor C0B7	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
hyjtjjk	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Azure Tide A4D3	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
ffg1	Yes	5	30.0%	$1.5
ghhhf	Yes	5	37.0%	$1.85
hgfjkkl	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Swift Quasar 179F	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
Amber Lynx F716	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Royal Orbit 589B	Yes	5	67.0%	$3.35
Violet Scout 66DC	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
Azure Meteor 894A	Yes	5	71.0%	$3.55
yuytfy	Yes	5	30.0%	$1.5
Solar Pioneer F9C6	Yes	5	67.0%	$3.35
Indigo Pioneer 6C9F	Yes	5	35.0%	$1.75
hrfjhjy	Yes	4.99	67.0%	$3.34
LOLlol	No	4.94	82.1%	$4	Jun 11, 6:05 AM UTC
jkhkll	Yes	4.48	44.7%	$2	Mar 24, 9:49 AM UTC
fgdghhgh	Yes	4.46	44.9%	$2	Mar 24, 9:56 AM UTC
ghtfrghy	Yes	4.44	45.0%	$2	Mar 24, 12:56 PM UTC
Jgjryu	No	4.32	82.1%	$3.5	Jun 15, 4:07 PM UTC
Coral Beacon 7E5B	No	4.22	69.0%	$2.91
rvvdhy	No	3.86	88.7%	$3.4	Jun 17, 7:12 PM UTC
dfsdf35	Yes	3.8	52.6%	$2	Mar 14, 1:42 PM UTC
vvdduytr	No	3.8	80.2%	$3	Jun 13, 8:52 PM UTC
vnfjyr	No	3.75	81.1%	$3	Jun 13, 8:34 PM UTC
Bdleoy	No	3.72	81.7%	$3	Jun 14, 8:24 PM UTC
16r0ob	No	3.56	79.4%	$2.83	Jun 24, 1:38 PM UTC
ttole	No	3.45	87.8%	$3	Jun 17, 6:57 PM UTC
ask099	Yes	3.45	30.4%	$1	Jun 8, 7:02 AM UTC
Kflortw	No	3.33	79.2%	$2.6	Jun 22, 8:01 PM UTC
Gilorthy	No	3.29	80.2%	$2.6	Jun 13, 9:51 PM UTC
gaskan	Yes	3.23	31.0%	$1	Apr 9, 4:43 PM UTC
Silver Signal D1EB	Yes	3.13	32.0%	$1	Mar 14, 9:55 AM UTC
rtfr6	Yes	3.13	32.0%	$1	Mar 14, 9:58 AM UTC
RexScrat	Yes	3.13	33.5%	$1	May 27, 3:57 AM UTC
Misty Scout CB00	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1	Mar 14, 10:43 AM UTC
Cosmic Scout 4646	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1	Mar 14, 10:39 AM UTC
ghfyj	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1	Mar 14, 10:20 AM UTC
Coral Kestrel 9742	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1	Mar 14, 10:35 AM UTC
fgtyht	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1	Mar 14, 12:02 PM UTC
jhutgj	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1	Mar 14, 10:30 AM UTC
Bright Pulse 3FCD	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1	Mar 14, 10:31 AM UTC
Jade Oracle DB2E	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1	Mar 14, 10:29 AM UTC
Neon Summit CD17	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1	Mar 14, 10:34 AM UTC
Odd-Relish	No	2.98	85.5%	$2.54	Sep 20, 6:27 AM UTC
andiyo	Yes	2.69	74.4%	$2	Jan 29, 1:51 PM UTC
Pristine-Corsage	No	2.56	39.0%	$1	Jan 31, 2:48 PM UTC
Tom-cat	Yes	2.56	39.0%	$1	Mar 6, 5:13 AM UTC
Chip.	Yes	2.56	39.0%	$1	Mar 6, 5:25 AM UTC
jenny012	Yes	2.5	40.0%	$1	Mar 6, 11:33 AM UTC
.Maxi.	Yes	2.5	40.0%	$1	Mar 7, 7:41 AM UTC
SRploy	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1	Mar 5, 3:01 AM UTC
.Tom.	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1	Mar 4, 10:31 AM UTC
Jerry..	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1	Mar 5, 10:51 AM UTC
tonyyt	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1	Mar 5, 11:31 AM UTC
rama33	Yes	2.25	44.5%	$1	Mar 8, 5:49 AM UTC
gfhfd7	Yes	1.94	57.1%	$1.11	Jan 4, 11:10 AM UTC
planktonXD	Yes	1.56	24.2%	$0.36	May 27, 3:56 AM UTC
nideyangzi	Yes	1.45	69.0%	$1	Jan 18, 10:04 AM UTC
RUKOU	Yes	1.45	69.0%	$1	Jan 18, 7:14 AM UTC
yrtyr	Yes	1.39	72.0%	$1	Jan 6, 1:22 PM UTC
dfgvdfd	Yes	1.39	72.0%	$1	Jan 6, 1:20 PM UTC
hsanad	Yes	1.37	73.0%	$1
yuiyuty	Yes	1.37	73.0%	$1	Jan 6, 11:47 AM UTC
htjhnmnj	Yes	1.37	73.0%	$1	Jan 4, 8:07 AM UTC
Keen Tide 80B8	Yes	1.37	73.0%	$1	Jan 6, 12:29 PM UTC
Bold Oracle 00D3	Yes	1.37	73.0%	$1	Jan 4, 9:27 AM UTC
Misty Summit 8DDC	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 11:02 AM UTC
hgtfhjj	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 10:10 AM UTC
Amber Meteor 5448	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 8:42 AM UTC
Menacing-Stack	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1
Crimson Raven 1986	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 10:36 AM UTC
675675	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 12:45 PM UTC
hyjgj	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 12:38 PM UTC
Testy-Cinnamon	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 9:38 AM UTC
Coral Raven 75F6	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 10:26 AM UTC
Coral Scout 1615	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 10:57 AM UTC
tytt3dr	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 6, 7:33 AM UTC
Jade Voyager 3DC3	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 4:03 PM UTC
Royal Lynx 3FAC	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 10:41 AM UTC
Amber Meteor E762	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 9:30 AM UTC
gfhdf6	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 1:29 PM UTC
Jade Pulse 4031	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1	Jan 4, 10:56 AM UTC
16r0ob	Yes	1.35	47.4%	$0.64	Feb 14, 4:53 PM UTC
okakokak	No	1.33	36.4%	$0.49
hgjgjjjk	Yes	1.33	75.0%	$1	Jan 4, 7:21 AM UTC
hjjkkh	Yes	1.33	75.0%	$1	Jan 4, 5:19 AM UTC
dtyesrye	Yes	1.33	75.0%	$1
Expert-Speech	Yes	1.33	75.0%	$1	Jan 4, 6:59 AM UTC
zddxgd	Yes	1.33	75.0%	$1	Jan 4, 5:41 AM UTC
utut	Yes	1.32	76.0%	$1	Jan 4, 7:13 AM UTC
Brief-Restriction-Sadness	Yes	1.32	76.0%	$1	Jan 4, 6:49 AM UTC
mhjgmmjm	Yes	1.32	76.0%	$1	Jan 4, 6:39 AM UTC
hytryyujju	Yes	1.32	76.0%	$1	Jan 4, 7:05 AM UTC
hjfgtj	Yes	1.32	76.0%	$1	Jan 4, 7:11 AM UTC
ooufhgor	Yes	1.27	79.0%	$1
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq	Yes	0.99	19.0%	$0.19
Xixihaha008	No	0.99	82.8%	$0.81	Jul 2, 11:37 AM UTC
predictgeek	No	0.74	80.2%	$0.58	Jul 14, 7:55 PM UTC
hitunfar	No	0.73	83.1%	$0.6	Jul 7, 3:51 AM UTC
Bright Sphinx 9602	No	0.67	72.4%	$0.49	Jun 13, 2:41 PM UTC
echo021301	Yes	0.57	26.0%	$0.15	Jan 18, 8:49 AM UTC
rocky42023	Yes	0.28	32.8%	$0.09
54sfds	Yes	0.27	8.8%	$0.02	Aug 13, 7:45 PM UTC
63sdf	No	0.2	88.4%	$0.18	Jun 23, 6:42 PM UTC

301 of 301 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
lexaman.eth	$1.41K
Milky-Tattler	$406.35
165198989	$370.95

Analytics