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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6? | No | 614.71 | $0.612 | $436.44 | +$60.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 42 | $0.560 | $23.52 | 9h ago |
 |
| No |
| 592.53 |
| $0.423 |
| $251.23 |
| +$0.72 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 809.01 | $0.315 | $242.7 | -$12.51 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 9? | No | 240.56 | $0.710 | $240.44 | +$69.57 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 342.48 | $0.659 | $222.1 | -$3.78 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 201.25 | $0.881 | $195.01 | +$17.77 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | No | 1.19K | $0.101 | $160.45 | +$39.97 |
 Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.07K | $0.194 | $134 | -$74.34 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | Yes | 299.07 | $0.260 | $118.13 | +$40.37 |
 Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 288.39 | $0.390 | $112.47 | $0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 299.38 | $0.410 | $100.29 | -$22.53 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 134.46 | $0.740 | $100.17 | +$0.68 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 1.04K | $0.220 | $98.54 | -$129.25 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 344.48 | $0.271 | $91.29 | -$2.08 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 299.85 | $0.298 | $86.96 | -$2.46 |
 Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 300 | $0.296 | $84.45 | -$4.35 |
 Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026? | Yes | 109.05 | $0.348 | $81.79 | +$43.81 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | Yes | 299.29 | $0.155 | $68.84 | +$22.33 |
 Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | No | 172.39 | $0.530 | $66.37 | -$25 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.329 | $64.5 | -$34.19 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 62.67 | $0.966 | $61.7 | +$1.16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 9? | No | 92.8 | $0.679 | $60.32 | -$2.68 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 70.33 | $0.800 | $51.69 | -$4.57 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | 49.48 | $0.930 | $47.48 | +$1.46 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 91.37 | $0.530 | $43.86 | -$4.57 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.540 |
| $27 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.695 | $3.47 | 2d ago |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.747 | $7.47 | 2d ago |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.749 | $7.49 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.776 | $3.88 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | sell | 38 | $0.802 | $30.48 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | sell | 22 | $0.802 | $17.64 | 3d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNemiga | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 244 | $0.045 | $10.98 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 4?No | buy | 18 | $0.380 | $6.84 | 4d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 4?No | sell | 43 | $0.480 | $20.64 | 5d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4?No | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 5d ago |
 Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.660 | $17.16 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Yes | sell | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?No | sell | 6 | $0.490 | $2.94 | 5d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.470 | $5.64 | 6d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 6d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 7d ago |
 Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.910 | $21.84 | 7d ago |
| Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.910 | $99.19 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 130 | $0.376 | $48.91 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 31?No | sell | 87 | $0.590 | $51.33 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 29?No | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 29?No | sell | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 10d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 29?No | sell | 6 | $0.160 | $0.96 | 11d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.949 | $91.1 | 12d ago |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.575 | $31.05 | 12d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 27?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | 13d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 80 | $0.898 | $71.84 | 14d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.530 | $12.72 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 188 | $0.470 | $88.36 | 15d ago |
 Will GS Markó win on 2026-08-24?No | sell | 72 | $0.400 | $28.8 | 15d ago |
 Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?No | sell | 54 | $0.490 | $26.46 | 16d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.430 | $21.93 | 16d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 23?No | sell | 6 | $0.450 | $2.7 | 16d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 22?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 17d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 25.99 | $0.338 | $8.78 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 21?No | sell | 9 | $0.570 | $5.13 | 18d ago |
 Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InSharper Esport | sell | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | 18d ago |
| Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InSharper Esport | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | 18d ago |
| Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InSharper Esport | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 18d ago |
| Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InSharper Esport | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 18d ago |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?No | sell | 57 | $0.500 | $28.5 | 19d ago |
 Cancun: Vit Kopriva vs Gauthier OnclinGauthier Onclin | sell | 80 | $0.451 | $36.1 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 22?No | buy | 102 | $0.400 | $40.8 | 19d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.403 | $18.14 | 19d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.403 | $19.34 | 19d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.401 | $15.24 | 20d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.402 | $6.43 | 20d ago |