Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 2.6 points from 2.7% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11.2% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.7%.
360-379 ranks fourth of the 13 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?”. 380-399 leads at 96.6%; 400-419 is at 3.4%.
$295.01K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $406.9K since listing. The order book holds $68.74K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.3K bought Yes and $14.33K bought No; the largest was a $4.78K buy of No at 98.8¢.
The largest Yes position is AM9691 with 55.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 121.7K. Ten wallets hold 73.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 2.7% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 121.72K |
| AM9691 | Yes | 55.59K |
| Buy1Get1Free | Yes | 43.52K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| Gustav4-1 |
| No |
| 13.64K |
| Mei-ji | Yes | 10.78K |
| xzsa | Yes | 9.45K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 8.42K |
| xiaojido202 | No | 8K |
| mianbaoxiaoziuma | No | 5K |
| laolumanjuuma | No | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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