Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0.1%; no result has been reported.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 1.4% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.4%.
420-439 ranks fourth of the 12 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?”. 380-399 leads at 100%; 360-379 is at 0.1%.
$215.26K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is xzsa with 34.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 123.4K. Ten wallets hold 77.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 4:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 123.4K |
| xzsa | Yes | 34.12K |
| LompatAja | Yes | 11.76K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026
| ihrekunst |
| Yes |
| 9.89K |
| ZYbRUIpL | Yes | 8.68K |
| Edmonrafailov | Yes | 8.19K |
| oiisparahaa | Yes | 8.11K |
| PredictionYogi | No | 5.73K |
| upont | No | 5.59K |
| broitsravi | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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