Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 1 point from 1.1% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 1.4% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.4%.
420-439 ranks fifth of the 13 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?”. 340-359 leads at 69.5%; 360-379 is at 28.7%.
$83.29K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $146.54K since listing. The order book holds $31.02K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $76.51 bought Yes and $33.16K bought No; the largest was a $12.39K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is vcxzvdr5e4 with 34.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 114.5K. Ten wallets hold 84.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 114.54K |
| vcxzvdr5e4 | Yes | 34.12K |
| LompatAja | Yes | 11.76K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| ihrekunst |
| Yes |
| 9.89K |
| ZYbRUIpL | Yes | 8.68K |
| orifcontex | Yes | 4.17K |
| LinaBell🦊 | Yes | 3.93K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 3.26K |
| Sugarina | Yes | 3K |
| cool.guide | Yes | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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