Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 0.7% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%.
500-519 ranks ninth of the 13 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?”. 340-359 leads at 70.8%; 360-379 is at 28.4%.
$31.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $69.86K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 182 trades, $19.09 bought Yes and $6.65K bought No; the largest was a $2.54K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Buy1Get1Free with 43.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 115.1K. Ten wallets hold 86.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 115.1K |
| Buy1Get1Free | Yes | 43.52K |
| Mei-ji | Yes | 11.26K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| ZYbRUIpL |
| Yes |
| 8.68K |
| ihrekunst | Yes | 8.66K |
| sebyastiens | Yes | 4.5K |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 3.85K |
| CakeBake | No | 3.25K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 3.05K |
| Sugarina | Yes | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
